Aki Vehtari

Professor
Professor
T313 Dept. Computer Science

I'm co-leader of the Probabilistic Machine Learning Group at Aalto. We develop new methods for probabilistic modeling, Bayesian inference and machine learning. Our current focuses are in particular probabilistic programming, learning from multiple data sources, Bayesian model assessment and selection, approximate inference and information visualization.

I'm member of development teams of Stan and ArviZ

Full researcher profile
https://research.aalto.fi/...
Phone number
+358405333747

Areas of expertise

Bayesian modeling, Statistical analysis, Epidemiology, Brain signal analysis, Machine learning

Honors and awards

Youden Award in Interlaboratory Testing from the American Statistical Association

Youden Award in Interlaboratory Testing from the American Statistical Association awarded to paper Sebastian Weber, Andrew Gelman, Daniel Lee, Michael Betancourt, Aki Vehtari, and Amy Racine-Poon (2018). Bayesian aggregation of average data: An application in drug development. Annals of Applied Statistics, 12(3):1583-1604.
Award or honor granted for a specific work Department of Computer Science Jan 2020

Member of the winning team (Särkkä, Vehtari & Lampinen) in Time Series Prediction Competition - The CATS Benchmark 2004

Invitation or ranking in competition Department of Computer Science Jan 2004

2016 De Groot Prize

The DeGroot Prize, in honor of Morris H ("Morrie" DeGroot, is awarded to the author or authors of an outstanding published book in Statistical Science
Award or honor granted for a specific work Department of Computer Science Jun 2016

Research groups

  • Computer Science Professors, Professor
  • Computer Science - Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning (AIML), Professor
  • Probabilistic Machine Learning, Professor
  • Professorship Vehtari Aki, Professor
  • Helsinki Institute for Information Technology (HIIT), Professor

Publications

Bayesian cross-validation by parallel Markov chain Monte Carlo

Alex Cooper, Aki Vehtari, Catherine Forbes, Dan Simpson, Lauren Kennedy 2024 STATISTICS AND COMPUTING

Cross-Validatory Model Selection for Bayesian Autoregressions with Exogenous Regressors

Alex Cooper, Dan Simpson, Lauren Kennedy, Catherine Forbes, Aki Vehtari 2024 Bayesian Analysis

Detecting and diagnosing prior and likelihood sensitivity with power-scaling

Noa Kallioinen, Topi Paananen, Paul Christian Bürkner, Aki Vehtari 2024 STATISTICS AND COMPUTING

Modeling public opinion over time and space : Trust in state institutions in Europe, 1989-2019

Marta Kołczyńska, Paul Christian Bürkner, Lauren Kennedy, Aki Vehtari 2024 Survey Research Methods

Advances in projection predictive inference

Yann McLatchie, Sölvi Rögnvaldsson, Frank Weber, Aki Vehtari 2024 Statistical Science

Efficient estimation and correction of selection-induced bias with order statistics

Yann McLatchie, Aki Vehtari 2024 STATISTICS AND COMPUTING

Prior knowledge elicitation: The past, present, and future

Petrus Mikkola, Osvaldo Martin, Suyog Halasinamara Chandramouli, Marcelo Hartmann, Oriol Abril Pla, Owen Thomas, Henri Pesonen, Jukka Corander, Aki Vehtari, Samuel Kaski, Paul-Christian Burkner, Arto Klami 2024 Bayesian Analysis

Predicting habitat suitability for Asian elephants in non-analog ecosystems with Bayesian models

Ryoko Noda, Michael Francis Mechenich, Juha Saarinen, Aki Vehtari, Indrė Žliobaitė 2024 Ecological Informatics

Past, Present and Future of Software for Bayesian Inference

Erik Štrumbelj, Alexandre Bouchard-Côté, Jukka Corander, Andrew Gelman, Håvard Rue, Lawrence Murray, Henri Pesonen, Martyn Plummer, Aki Vehtari 2024 Statistical Science