Aki Vehtari

Aki Vehtari

ELLIS Institute
Academy Professor
T313 Dept. Computer Science

I work on the integration of computer science and Bayesian statistics, making fundamental contributions Bayesian workflow, probabilistic programming, inference methods such as Laplace, EP, VB, MC, inference and model diagnostics, model assessment and selection, Gaussian processes, and hierarchical models. I'm the leader of the Bayesian workflow group.

Full researcher profile
https://research.aalto.fi/...
Sähköposti
aki.vehtari@aalto.fi
Puhelinnumero
+358405333747

Osaamisalueet

Bayesian computational modeling, Bayesian workflow

Palkinnot

Youden Award in Interlaboratory Testing from the American Statistical Association

Youden Award in Interlaboratory Testing from the American Statistical Association awarded to paper Sebastian Weber, Andrew Gelman, Daniel Lee, Michael Betancourt, Aki Vehtari, and Amy Racine-Poon (2018). Bayesian aggregation of average data: An application in drug development. Annals of Applied Statistics, 12(3):1583-1604.
Award or honor granted for a specific work Department of Computer Science Jan 2020

Member of the winning team (Särkkä, Vehtari & Lampinen) in Time Series Prediction Competition - The CATS Benchmark 2004

Invitation or ranking in competition Department of Computer Science Jan 2004

2016 De Groot Prize

The DeGroot Prize, in honor of Morris H ("Morrie" DeGroot, is awarded to the author or authors of an outstanding published book in Statistical Science
Award or honor granted for a specific work Department of Computer Science Jun 2016

Tutkimusryhmät

  • Computer Science Professors, Academy Professor
  • Computer Science - Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning (AIML) - Research area, Academy Professor
  • Probabilistic Machine Learning, Academy Professor
  • Professorship Vehtari Aki, Academy Professor
  • Helsinki Institute for Information Technology (HIIT), Academy Professor

Julkaisut

Cross-Validatory Model Selection for Bayesian Autoregressions with Exogenous Regressors

Alex Cooper, Dan Simpson, Lauren Kennedy, Catherine Forbes, Aki Vehtari 2025 Bayesian Analysis

Active Learning of Molecular Data for Task-Specific Objectives

Kunal Ghosh, Milica Todorovic, Aki Vehtari, Patrick Rinke 2025 Journal of Chemical Physics

The ARR2 Prior: Flexible Predictive Prior Definition for Bayesian Auto-Regressions

David Kohns, Noa Kallioinen, Yann McLatchie, Aki Vehtari 2025 Bayesian Analysis

posteriordb: Testing, Benchmarking and Developing Bayesian Inference Algorithms

Måns Magnusson, Jakob Torgander, Paul Christian Bürkner, Lu Zhang, Bob Carpenter, Aki Vehtari 2025 Proceedings of the 28th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS) 2025

Advances in projection predictive inference

Yann McLatchie, Sölvi Rögnvaldsson, Frank Weber, Aki Vehtari 2025 Statistical Science

Health octo tool matches personalized health with rate of aging

Sh Salimi, A. Vehtari, M. Salive, M. Kaeberlein, D. Raftery, L. Ferrucci 2025 Nature Communications

Uncertainty in Bayesian Leave-One-Out Cross-Validation Based Model Comparison

Tuomas Sivula, Måns Magnusson, Asael Alonzo Matamoros, Aki Vehtari 2025 Bayesian Analysis

The Piranha Problem: Large Effects Swimming in a Small Pond

Christopher Tosh, Philip Greengard, Ben Goodrich, Andrew Gelman, Aki Vehtari, Daniel Hsu 2025 Notices of the American Mathematical Society

Bayesian cross-validation by parallel Markov chain Monte Carlo

Alex Cooper, Aki Vehtari, Catherine Forbes, Dan Simpson, Lauren Kennedy 2024 STATISTICS AND COMPUTING